A mixed market

21/6/2013
ALWAYS KEEP A STOP -LOSS IN PLACE AS THE MARKET IS NOW VERY VOLATILE THANKS TO BERNANKES  STATEMENTS. PUT OPTIONS ARE NOW DOING WELL.PROBABLY WHEN THE DOW REACHES 14600 TRADERS WILL REALISE THAT THE FED WILL NOT DROP THEM COMPLETELY AND WILL START MOVING UPWARDS SLOWLY AGAIN


19/6/2013
Technical update.
AGL,BIL both are oversold and about  to take off.
The South African shares are also oversold,but it remains to be seen if the agreement signed with the Unions also carries the workers wishes,so are likely to stay neutral.TOPI is also likely to reverse upwards. 

SEE THE SMALL CAP PAGE WHICH HAS BEEN RESET AND UPDATED ABOVE
We are influenced by world markets.
The DOW had reached an all time high again last week. It is likely to pause now and enter a sideways down graph as Chinese market stutters.In the rest of the world there is also no real recovery yet.The market here and else where is in a holding pattern.The shares MIGHT  go up tomorrow,how ever AGL,AMS,EXX IMP,SOL,BIL and the TOPI are likely to decline further as there are no incentives to advance from their OVERSOLD position .KIO is showing signs of advance.

RESOURCES ARE STARTING TO RECOVER May 14

2. 14/5/2013 The tech analysis on resource now shows a neutral to downward bias as industrial unrest seems imminent.Perhaps now is the time to short AMS.
Only BIL and SOL seem to be rallying  see page above.

1.SEE MY RESOURCE PAGE ABOVE FOR MY CHOICES, MAY 6,8
MINER'S PAY NEGOTIATIONS ARE LIKELY TO HAVE LESS IMPACT UPON THE SMALLER
MINES PRODUCTION THAN THE BIG ONES, GOING FORWARD.

2.I SHALL PUBLISH MY DERIVATIVE UP ABOUT MID-MONTH

APRIL UPDATE BY Naomi day 2

16 APR
 LITLE HAS CHANGED THIS MONTH STILL VERY OVERSOLD BUT THE MAJOR SELL OFF OF RESOURCES BY  A TERROR ACT HAS HASTENED THE SELL OFF.STILL VERY LITTLE SIGN OF A SOLID UPTURN.THE MARKET IS MORE LIKELY TO DRIFT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS BEFORE A MORE PERMANENT DIRECTION IS LIKELY TO SHOW ITSELF.

2 APR
THE MARKET IS STILL VERY OVERSOLD.OUR MARKET FOLLOWS EUROPE AS MOST OF OUR TRADE IS IN THIS REGION.THE EURO HAS BEEN LOSING GROUND TO THE US DOLLAR AS HAVE WE.OUR MAIN RESOURCES ARE QUOTED IN DOLLARS.THE EUROPEAN MARKET IS LIKELY TO STILL HAVE SOME DISRUPTIONS IN THIS YEAR,HOW EVER THEIR RECOVERY IN THE LONGER TERM IS LIKELY TO BE STRONGER THAN THE US DOLLAR AS IT IS BASED ON A SOUNDER FOOTING,AS THEY HAVE RESISTED THE URGE TO OVER PRINT PAPER  EURO TO GET THEIR ECONOMIES MOVING AGAIN.
ALLWAYS KEEP STOP-LOSSES IN PLACE WHEN TRADING DERIVATIVES AS MARKETS CAN CHANGE DIRECTION WHEN YOU LEAST EXPECT IT.GOLD AND PLATINUM ARE LIKELY TO HAVE A BOOST NOW, ON JITTERS ABOUT CYPRUS.

The first quarter is almost finished-by barry MAR

A very interesting time especially for resources.The market is wholly oversold and in some instances might bump along the bottom.Signs of recovery are occuring in the mining houses AGL .SOL is over bought and might start to decline .Naomi is recovering well and is likely to Update her small cap resources next month.

Febuary update day 5,10,21 2013

21/2/2013 The market is trending side ways as no real news is to drive it in any major direction.This is my last report for a month.Barry will take over as I am going to have an op. at the beginning of the month.(Gall Bladder removed)
Yes i'm scared!

5/2/2013
Traders and economists are worried about all time highs been reached on the DOW.They need not fear a reverse  now as it reached the prevous high six years ago.Normally shares average an annual increase of 10% capital gain.Therefore they are likely to gain another fifty percent before becoming  overbought.
See the technical update page above.

THE NEW YEAR 2013 DAY11

16/1/2013 NAOMI'S FIRST TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR THE YEAR IS NOW AVAILABLE SEE PAGE ABOVE
MOST SHARES ARE OVERBOUGHT TO VARIOUS DEGREES AND ARE CORRECTING.ONLY SAB,BIL and SAB ARE OVERSOLD.TIME FOR PUT WARRANTS ON AMS MIGHT BE A GOOD IDEA
From 2 Dec to 11 Dec
AGLSBM +23%
AMSSBC + 69%
BILSBB   +39%
IMPSBC  +10%

Well some parts of the so called FISCAL CLIFF are falling into
place.
There still three major events to come before its finally settled.
On the local scene our market is wholly overbought at this time.How ever with this news of a partial fixing the market is still likely to surge ahead.A reversel is unlikely to take place soon.Only my opinion. 
The update of warrants will be put in place around 15 Jan

December 4,13/12/ 2012

18/12/2012       The second part of this year has been very good to traders as the pattern has been mostly upwards and as" the trend is your friend" we all should have found it more predictable.This particular blog  has almost doubled the amount of users this year.As it is  niche site around 200 users per month is enough to encourage us to continue.
WE wish all traders well  on the new year 2013 and the best of trading.
Trades now fall away  and can be completely unpredictable with very few traders out there.We shall resume this blog around 15/1/2013. 

TOPSKN STARTED AT 40 Cents ON 4 Sep NOW 79 Cents A gain of 71%. I held it not selling in the temporary reverses but will get out near the end of Dec ,in case the fiscal cliff alters things.
Well I am glad the last update ran true to form .See the latest  tech update on page one.Always keep those stop-losses in place as warrants are very volatile.
If the fiscal cliff s not resolved by year end  the volatility will increase even more creating even more opportunities for traders,but one would have to be very fleet footed.

NOVEMBER UPDATE 19/11/2010

THE MARKET IS VERY OVER SOLD DUE TO FACTORS IN THE MIDDLE EAST,AMERICA AND LOCAL TENSIONS See page 1
We only include warrants that are more likely to be volatile as warrants are over shorter periods.
For longer period gains rather take Instalments or other products.Warrants have time decay built into them which increases as they near their expiary date.Better to avoid warrants with in sixty days of expiary unless exceptional circumstances reign!
As an example if a mine has to close suddenly ,its price might decline rapidly,then a PUT WOULD BE CALLED FOR,IF PRODUCTION RESUMES THEN A CALL WOULD BE IN ORDER.
IF A SHARE IS FLAT FOR A WEEK YOU LOSE AS TIME DECAY EATS INTO YOUR PRICE.
DO REMEMBER TO KEEP STOP-LOSSES IN PLACE AS WARRANTS CAN BE VERY VOLATILE
FINALLY AS LONG AS THE ISSURER IS IN THE MARKET YOU CAN TRADE,OTHER TRADERS ARE NOT REQUIRED TO MAKE THE MARKET
AS ALWAYS ONLY OUR OPINIONS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE TRADING,WE ARE NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ERRORS OR OMISSIONS
TOPSKN HAS GAINED 47% SINCE 4 Sep 2012(As it is a knockout warrant it has no time decay.Knock out 28000)

See technical analysis page 1 above

OCTOBER UPDATE 2012

OCT 18
TOPSKN has advanced by 40% since 4 September to 22 of October which shows that the bull run seems to be intact at the moment  

ONLY MY OWN OPINION,BUT I SHOULD THINK IT MAKES GOOD SENSE NOW TO TAKE THE CALL
 WARRANTS ON KIO AND IMP.
ALSO I NOTE THAT MANY TRADERS ARE TAKING AMSSBB NOW AND ONLY A FEW AMSSBC
I PREFER THE LATTER,AS IT HAS A TIME DECAY OF ONLY 2.6% PER WEEK,WITH 201 DAYS TO RUN.
AMSSBB TIME DECAY IS 5.6% WEEKLY SO IT HAS TO GO SOME BEFORE A PROFIT CAN BE MADE

SEE TECH ANALYSIS PAGE 1,OCT 1 and 16
ALSO SEE RESOURCE TIPS OCT 17
THERE IS A GREAT DEAL OF INDECISION IN THE RESOURCE SHARES AT THE MOMENT AS THE MINERS STRIKE ROLLS ON.IMPALA HAS SETTLED SEPERATELY,HOW EVER ALL ARE TRYING TO HEAD FOR COLLECTIVE BARGAINING IN FUTURE

17 September Update

WE ARE REMODELLING THIS SITE.THIS MIGHT TAKE SOME MONTHS.

When a share is over bought or sold ,it does not mean that it will immediately reverse,but is likely still to move in the direction of the TOPI.How ever such a derivative is likely to gain the most when a new direction is established.Always keep stop-losses in place as warrants can be VOLATILE.
SEE THE NEW PAGE 1 FOR THE LATEST INFO