APRIL UPDATE NO1

LAST MONTH THE STOCK MARKET WAS MOSTLY NEGATIVE.
OVER THE LAST FIFTEEN DAYS THERE WAS VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT EITHER WAY AS THERE WAS NOTHING TO EXCITE THE MARKET,ONE CAN SEE THIS FROM THE VIX(VOLATILITY) INDEX WHERE IT WAS BELOW 20% AND TRENDING DOWN.
N0W AMERICA IS GOING TO IMPOSE SANCTIONS FROM THE 26 OF JUNE AGAINST IRAN.THIS WILL HEIGHTEN TENSIONS AND VOLATILITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE WORLD WIDE
THE  SHARES WE FOLLOW ON THE STOCH ARE ALL AT ROCK BOTTOM AND SHOWING NO SIGNS OF RECOVERY BUT ARE VASTLY OVERSOLD. THE MACD SHOULD BE WATCHED AS WELL FOR SIGNS OF RECOVERY AS WELL AS THE INDEX
THESE SHARES ARE; ACL,AGL,AMS,BIL,KIO,SAB,SOL,EXX
I AM TENTAVELY GOING LONG ON SELECTIVE SHARES
Do keep stop-losses in place as there can be sudden reversals.If Iran shows resistance the shorts should still have afield day.There is then likely to be a shortage of pretroleum products.

MARCH UPDATE NO2

The market seems very OVERSOLD and seems on the eve of a large REBOUND.
AGL and SAB is already 80 % up on the Stoch and leads the upside.
Ready to go long at the bottom are;
AGL,AMS,BIL,EXX,SOL and ACL.in the case of ACL look for further signals on the chart before going long.
The TOPI also shows signs of breaking upwards.
I take no responsibility for errors or omissions.the above  conjecture  is always only my opinion

March Update no 1

Remember these posts pertains only to WARRANTS.. A warrant might be a buy whilst the share can at the same time be a SELL   A  warrant can be over a time period of between on day AND FIFTEEN DAYS or longer.Do your own research before purchasing.Keep stop losses in place as warrants are volatile.
AGL,BIL,IMP,AMS are at the bottom on the Stoch.Look for other  signs before going long on the charts.BIL and AGL are likely to recover first.
ACL is at the TOP showing signs of recovery as well as EXX and KIO  which over 75% up and climbing
SOL is at the bottom and might present the best chance for going long
The TOPI is at the bottom watch for other signs and might soon climb so watch for signs to go long

Feb Update no 2

Besides the Stochastic indicator which gives the hint when conditions are favourable to move in a certain direction,but not necessarily when,do look at the other indicators as well.
The ON BALANCE VOLUME(OBV) tells us if there are more buyers than sellers and vice
 versa.
The MOVING AVERAGE CONVERGANCE/DIVERANGE(MACD) is very good as to whether the movement up or down and how long each position is likely to occur.The fatter the difference line the better.
AGL,BIL,SOL are at the bottom of the Stoch and climbing
AMS,ACL and IMP are at the bottom  but there no confirming other signals yet
Near the TOP are KIO,EXXand SAB. Do use the other signals to determine how long they might remain there.
Finally the S andP  is around 20% which usually favours the longs as it shows there is little pannick in the market at the moment.
As always only my opinion do your own research.


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First Post Febuary

The market has become  some what directionless.there has been a pullback after a strong run.Make no mistake ,it is still in a bull phase and is like to advance some more.

On the Stoch the iron and related products are continuing to do well,namely ACL,KIO,EXX  ,BUT  ARE APPROACHING AN OVER BOUGHT SITUATION if the prices go up rapidly.
In limbo and able to go either way are BIL,AGL,IMP,SAB.
Over sold and showing signs of recovery are AMS,SOL.

The TOPI has come off a little,but looks lkely to reverse up again.Do watch the ROC(momentum) on the chart which shows it steady and unlikely to fall further for the time being
Always keep those Stop-losses in place as changes can come quickly.As always only my opinion/

First Post January 2012

Well the market has been particularly dead this year,as far as warrant and other derivative traders go.It is normlly a bad time to trade as every one is in a relaxed holiday mood around the year end.Now things are likely to get back to normal,with market makers and traders on their toes..Volatility is picking up making trading worth while again.
Out-side the normal shares that I mention once in a while ,because of corporate action involving a major restructure comes along where extra ordinary profits can be made with ordinary vanilla warrants Such an event is the selling of Skandia by Old Mutual ,as the saga continues there is likely to be more to be made up to the LDT date. OMLSBD would have netted over 200% since last month.Now the share to buy is OMLSBE which has shot up100% in this momth already.
Remember the Stoch is only a guide and other chart indicators should be used to make your decision to trade.Always only my opinion.
Shares at 80% up which are likely to bump along the top before becoming fully overbought are; AGL,BIL.AMS,EXX,IMP,KIO,SAB,SOL...Fully overbought is ACL
The index share TOPSKK is in the same position and is likely to run this week before again pausing and becoming fully overbought.

December no 2

Well the bears had a a great couple of weeks so far and it seems it will continue for some time. As it seems there is no safety net under the Euoropean Euro.Too little too late although there is a very slow recovery in America .Our shares are falling and a new lower level will give us the chance to trade in the new year.It has now become difficult to trade warrants successfully as volumes are very thin.
Declining and still having some way to go to be co
ACL,AGL,BIL,IMP,KIO,SAB,SOL and the TOPI
Completely oversold are AMS and EXX
do enjoy your rest and I hope we shall all be successful inthe new year.The will be next update jwill be around 15 of
January.



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December no1

SEE PAGE 2 FOR LATEST SMALL CAP UPDATE
The market has entered a recovery phase as the end of year approaches.Our own market depends a great deal on the Rand/US Dollar price.The Rand fell to Rand 8.61 to the Dollar and our share prices retreated.Now this week the Rand strengthened to Rand 8.05 and our share prices advanced again.Remember to do your own research and keep stop-losses and alerts upon all warrants.
ACL is below 20% on the Stoch and showing signs of recovery
AMS and IMPare recovering alrrady coming off a low base .All should be ideal for CALL WARRANTS as well as EXX and KIO which are already 40% up.

Nearing 80% up are AGL,BIL,SAB and SOL ,but with upward bias so should not really retreat soon. Shorten the stop-loss upon these.
The INDEX warrants are still moving up and might continue along the top for some time to come.

Update no2

Approaching Overbought status are; AGL,IMP,KIO,SOL
AT THE BOTTOM OF THE STOCH and showing good signs of recovering are SAB,AMS,EXX,ACL,BIL
THE INDEX WARRANT   TOPSKK IS SHOWING GOOD SIGNS OF RECOVERY

NOVEMBER no1

The market is very volatile as no one is sure which way things are going to pan out in Europe.How ever we can not put all the blame on these events as the TOPI warrants show the way with gains of about 100% this month.It would seem as if the market is just pausing  for breath,before further advances
All the main trading vanilla warrants are overbought and show signs of going further down. Around 80% up are;
ACL,AMS,AGL,BIL,IMP,KIO,SAB,SOL,EXX

The US DOLLAR HAS GAINED 18% AGAINST THE RAND SINCE 4 AUG 2011
 The index warrant is also overbought and has shown 100%gain in one month namely; TOPSKK