Wednesday, February 1, 2012

First Post Febuary

The market has become  some what directionless.there has been a pullback after a strong run.Make no mistake ,it is still in a bull phase and is like to advance some more.

On the Stoch the iron and related products are continuing to do well,namely ACL,KIO,EXX  ,BUT  ARE APPROACHING AN OVER BOUGHT SITUATION if the prices go up rapidly.
In limbo and able to go either way are BIL,AGL,IMP,SAB.
Over sold and showing signs of recovery are AMS,SOL.

The TOPI has come off a little,but looks lkely to reverse up again.Do watch the ROC(momentum) on the chart which shows it steady and unlikely to fall further for the time being
Always keep those Stop-losses in place as changes can come quickly.As always only my opinion/

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

First Post January 2012

Well the market has been particularly dead this year,as far as warrant and other derivative traders go.It is normlly a bad time to trade as every one is in a relaxed holiday mood around the year end.Now things are likely to get back to normal,with market makers and traders on their toes..Volatility is picking up making trading worth while again.
Out-side the normal shares that I mention once in a while ,because of corporate action involving a major restructure comes along where extra ordinary profits can be made with ordinary vanilla warrants Such an event is the selling of Skandia by Old Mutual ,as the saga continues there is likely to be more to be made up to the LDT date. OMLSBD would have netted over 200% since last month.Now the share to buy is OMLSBE which has shot up100% in this momth already.
Remember the Stoch is only a guide and other chart indicators should be used to make your decision to trade.Always only my opinion.
Shares at 80% up which are likely to bump along the top before becoming fully overbought are; AGL,BIL.AMS,EXX,IMP,KIO,SAB,SOL...Fully overbought is ACL
The index share TOPSKK is in the same position and is likely to run this week before again pausing and becoming fully overbought.

Thursday, December 15, 2011

December no 2

Well the bears had a a great couple of weeks so far and it seems it will continue for some time. As it seems there is no safety net under the Euoropean Euro.Too little too late although there is a very slow recovery in America .Our shares are falling and a new lower level will give us the chance to trade in the new year.It has now become difficult to trade warrants successfully as volumes are very thin.
Declining and still having some way to go to be co
ACL,AGL,BIL,IMP,KIO,SAB,SOL and the TOPI
Completely oversold are AMS and EXX
do enjoy your rest and I hope we shall all be successful inthe new year.The will be next update jwill be around 15 of
January.



c

Friday, December 2, 2011

December no1

SEE PAGE 2 FOR LATEST SMALL CAP UPDATE
The market has entered a recovery phase as the end of year approaches.Our own market depends a great deal on the Rand/US Dollar price.The Rand fell to Rand 8.61 to the Dollar and our share prices retreated.Now this week the Rand strengthened to Rand 8.05 and our share prices advanced again.Remember to do your own research and keep stop-losses and alerts upon all warrants.
ACL is below 20% on the Stoch and showing signs of recovery
AMS and IMPare recovering alrrady coming off a low base .All should be ideal for CALL WARRANTS as well as EXX and KIO which are already 40% up.

Nearing 80% up are AGL,BIL,SAB and SOL ,but with upward bias so should not really retreat soon. Shorten the stop-loss upon these.
The INDEX warrants are still moving up and might continue along the top for some time to come.

Tuesday, November 15, 2011

Update no2

Approaching Overbought status are; AGL,IMP,KIO,SOL
AT THE BOTTOM OF THE STOCH and showing good signs of recovering are SAB,AMS,EXX,ACL,BIL
THE INDEX WARRANT   TOPSKK IS SHOWING GOOD SIGNS OF RECOVERY

Tuesday, November 1, 2011

NOVEMBER no1

The market is very volatile as no one is sure which way things are going to pan out in Europe.How ever we can not put all the blame on these events as the TOPI warrants show the way with gains of about 100% this month.It would seem as if the market is just pausing  for breath,before further advances
All the main trading vanilla warrants are overbought and show signs of going further down. Around 80% up are;
ACL,AMS,AGL,BIL,IMP,KIO,SAB,SOL,EXX

The US DOLLAR HAS GAINED 18% AGAINST THE RAND SINCE 4 AUG 2011
 The index warrant is also overbought and has shown 100%gain in one month namely; TOPSKK

Friday, October 14, 2011

MID-MONTH UPDATE

The market finally seems to be on the recovery path,although very slowly.CALL warrants are begining to rule.
KIO,SAB,SOL are at the 80%
 up on the Stoch.Looking at the RSI shows us that the opening of positions shown means that the shares are likely to go higher and stay there for some time.
AGL,AMS,EXX, IMP are half way up and looking to extend their gains.
ACL is at the top but coming off as it is over bought.Only my opinion,do your own research.
The Index CALL warrant reflets the upward move of the shares,but is also dependent(with our shares) upon the Rand strength to the Dollar.As it strengthens along with the Euro against the US Dollar the index rises.
Gold and Platinum is also showing signs of recovery but both the gold and platinum warrants have too much time decay at this stage for such a slow moving product ,as to make them viable.

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

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Saturday, October 1, 2011

October Warrant Update

It has been a good trading time for shorts of late. Although the Stochastic Analysis is mostly at the bottom now there is little sign of rising share prices as long as the European crisis continues.Better results from shares in the USA  later this month will probably make better conditions for CALL WARRANTS and other derivatives.


Do use the MACD in conjunction with the STOCH to decide as when to go long.


AMS,AGL,BIL,EXX,IMP,KIO,SOL ARE NEARLY ALL AT THE BOTTOM
WITH SOME STILL SHOWING SIGNS OF FALLING.


ACL A LAGGARD IS STILL RISING. AS IS SAB
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ON THE INDEX THE PUT TOPPKX HAS HAD A GREAT RUN  RISING 104%SINCE 30 MARCH
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PERHAPS A GOOD TO BUY THE ALL GOLD WARRANT GLDSBM AS IT IS LIKELY TO RECOVER.
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As always only my opinion and remember to keep those stop -losses in place as things can change quickly

Friday, September 16, 2011

September mid-month update

The market has fallen so far that even after a five day rise ,every pull back is likely to be a token breather,
extremely difficult to short at this juncture.With the steps now been taken world wide to stabilise the market the upward moves have become more positive.Always keep your stop-losses in place as the market is still volatile and rumours of any kind can lead to sudden reversals.

 Near 80% up and still rising are;
AGL
AMS
BIL
EXX
SAB
SOL
and the TOPI INDEX
KIO is 50% up.
LAGGARDS ARE
ACL
IMP which has positive news about its Zimbabwe  assets both could possibly play catch up.

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