December no 2

Well the bears had a a great couple of weeks so far and it seems it will continue for some time. As it seems there is no safety net under the Euoropean Euro.Too little too late although there is a very slow recovery in America .Our shares are falling and a new lower level will give us the chance to trade in the new year.It has now become difficult to trade warrants successfully as volumes are very thin.
Declining and still having some way to go to be co
ACL,AGL,BIL,IMP,KIO,SAB,SOL and the TOPI
Completely oversold are AMS and EXX
do enjoy your rest and I hope we shall all be successful inthe new year.The will be next update jwill be around 15 of
January.



c

December no1

SEE PAGE 2 FOR LATEST SMALL CAP UPDATE
The market has entered a recovery phase as the end of year approaches.Our own market depends a great deal on the Rand/US Dollar price.The Rand fell to Rand 8.61 to the Dollar and our share prices retreated.Now this week the Rand strengthened to Rand 8.05 and our share prices advanced again.Remember to do your own research and keep stop-losses and alerts upon all warrants.
ACL is below 20% on the Stoch and showing signs of recovery
AMS and IMPare recovering alrrady coming off a low base .All should be ideal for CALL WARRANTS as well as EXX and KIO which are already 40% up.

Nearing 80% up are AGL,BIL,SAB and SOL ,but with upward bias so should not really retreat soon. Shorten the stop-loss upon these.
The INDEX warrants are still moving up and might continue along the top for some time to come.

Update no2

Approaching Overbought status are; AGL,IMP,KIO,SOL
AT THE BOTTOM OF THE STOCH and showing good signs of recovering are SAB,AMS,EXX,ACL,BIL
THE INDEX WARRANT   TOPSKK IS SHOWING GOOD SIGNS OF RECOVERY

NOVEMBER no1

The market is very volatile as no one is sure which way things are going to pan out in Europe.How ever we can not put all the blame on these events as the TOPI warrants show the way with gains of about 100% this month.It would seem as if the market is just pausing  for breath,before further advances
All the main trading vanilla warrants are overbought and show signs of going further down. Around 80% up are;
ACL,AMS,AGL,BIL,IMP,KIO,SAB,SOL,EXX

The US DOLLAR HAS GAINED 18% AGAINST THE RAND SINCE 4 AUG 2011
 The index warrant is also overbought and has shown 100%gain in one month namely; TOPSKK

MID-MONTH UPDATE

The market finally seems to be on the recovery path,although very slowly.CALL warrants are begining to rule.
KIO,SAB,SOL are at the 80%
 up on the Stoch.Looking at the RSI shows us that the opening of positions shown means that the shares are likely to go higher and stay there for some time.
AGL,AMS,EXX, IMP are half way up and looking to extend their gains.
ACL is at the top but coming off as it is over bought.Only my opinion,do your own research.
The Index CALL warrant reflets the upward move of the shares,but is also dependent(with our shares) upon the Rand strength to the Dollar.As it strengthens along with the Euro against the US Dollar the index rises.
Gold and Platinum is also showing signs of recovery but both the gold and platinum warrants have too much time decay at this stage for such a slow moving product ,as to make them viable.

ADVANCED Stock & Share Trading Ideas: NEW ALERT

ADVANCED Stock & Share Trading Ideas: NEW ALERT: October 2011(Day in month note is first published at beginning of sentence) 11. SLOVAKIA voting no to the Euro bail out of Greece has more ...

October Warrant Update

It has been a good trading time for shorts of late. Although the Stochastic Analysis is mostly at the bottom now there is little sign of rising share prices as long as the European crisis continues.Better results from shares in the USA  later this month will probably make better conditions for CALL WARRANTS and other derivatives.


Do use the MACD in conjunction with the STOCH to decide as when to go long.


AMS,AGL,BIL,EXX,IMP,KIO,SOL ARE NEARLY ALL AT THE BOTTOM
WITH SOME STILL SHOWING SIGNS OF FALLING.


ACL A LAGGARD IS STILL RISING. AS IS SAB
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ON THE INDEX THE PUT TOPPKX HAS HAD A GREAT RUN  RISING 104%SINCE 30 MARCH
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PERHAPS A GOOD TO BUY THE ALL GOLD WARRANT GLDSBM AS IT IS LIKELY TO RECOVER.
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As always only my opinion and remember to keep those stop -losses in place as things can change quickly

September mid-month update

The market has fallen so far that even after a five day rise ,every pull back is likely to be a token breather,
extremely difficult to short at this juncture.With the steps now been taken world wide to stabilise the market the upward moves have become more positive.Always keep your stop-losses in place as the market is still volatile and rumours of any kind can lead to sudden reversals.

 Near 80% up and still rising are;
AGL
AMS
BIL
EXX
SAB
SOL
and the TOPI INDEX
KIO is 50% up.
LAGGARDS ARE
ACL
IMP which has positive news about its Zimbabwe  assets both could possibly play catch up.

August Update no 2

The very volatile trading conditions were caused by the USA downgrade of their credit  rating and then the knock on effect of the Euozone difficulties.

The over sold condition persisted longer than could be anticipated.Shares on the whole have retracted to more reasonable levels.

The market is still oversold.Our Rand weakened to around 7.27 to the Dollar,while in the long run is good for resource counters that export .

How ever in the short term the downward movement was too severe and shares are likely to recover as the Rand strengthens.If it goes below R7 to the Dollar we are like to see a stronger upward movement.

0VERSOLD and just above 20 %and showing a strong recovery are:

ACL

AGL

AMS

BIL

EXX

IMP

SAB

SOL

KIO HAS JUST Payed ITS DIVIDEND AND IS LIKELY TO BE A LAGGARD FOR SOME TIME TO COME

On the TOPI there seems to be no knock out call warrant and I have been forced to take an ordinary vanilla warrant,namely TOPSBF which 1.9% time decay The TOPI IS ALSO OVERSOLD

STOP PRESS ;TODAY A KNOCKOUT WARRANT HAS BEEN MADE AVAILABLE   26/8/2011 NAMELY      TOPSKK

Along the way up there might be sudden reversals as the market is very nervous so always keep your stop-losses in place

Stochastic July no.1

This kind of analysis was never meant for day traders of the ALSI,who follow very short leads.We and many of our friends find it invaluable for WARRANTS and other longer term derivitives ,from a few days and up to weeks at times or longer.We have had great success using this graph.Do remember to do your own research and observe other indicators as well.

All movement at the moment seems to be on the long side The rise has been quite rapid,but with so much good news flowing through  retreats are unlikely to be very great at the moment and each pull back is likely to led to a further advance
AGL,KIO,EXX and BIL  are slightly overbought
The rest are around 50% and are still going up ,namely AMS,IMP,SAB,SOL

ACL is coming off the bottom so has furthest to go.We expect all to bounce along the top before becoming very overbought ,probably in a week or longer time.
Also of importance although not the sole indicator is that the Rand is strengthening against the American dollar .In the last downward movement it reached /R6.90 to the Dollar.Now its running the other way and is at R6.75 to the dollar. LAST TIME IT REACHED 6.66 IT STARTED TO REVERSE.AT THE MOMENT THE MOMENTUM IS SO STRONG THAT IT MIGHT REACH THE 6.50 + BEFORE PUTS AGAIN COME INTO VOGUE. SO LONG IT IS FOR NOW.